Jim Rutenberg’s article in the June 23 New York Times Magazine (“Data You Can Believe In”) was informative on several levels. In it, he provided a detailed description of how the 2012 Obama presidential campaign used precision targeting of “persuadable” voters to re-elect the President. As explained by Mr. Rutenberg, the methods used were easily transferable to targeted advertising that could radically change the work of the descendants of the Mad Men.
But the same methods that work well in electing a president don’t necessarily lead to a successful presidency. And as Mr. Obama again faces a Congress that appears committed to blocking any meaningful legislative initiatives, he may have only himself to blame. Running the country, it turns out, may well require entirely different strategies from running a campaign, and unless and until Mr. Obama and his staff realize this point, the country may be in for another four years of D.C. gridlock.
Mr. Obama has shown that he can deliver a well-crafted speech with the best of them. He has also shown a willingness to compromise when necessary to move his agenda. What he hasn’t shown is the courage to take his principles and his commitments out of campaign-mode tactics and become a true leader of the whole country.
Think for a moment of the way in which Obama makes the case for his initiatives. He has two basic approaches. One is to deliver one of those rip-roaring speeches, and the other is to chide at the opposition in a press conference. The latter tactic may enliven his base, but it hardly endears him to his opposition. Now think about those speeches. Most often they are delivered in a campaign-style rally with supporters of the policy he is espousing cheering as if they are a studio audience responding to an “applause” sign.
That approach works well in a campaign, where image is critical. Candidates need to appear popular to create the impression that they are winners. And the Obama campaigns (both in ’08 and ’12) were excellent at conveying that impression. But when it comes to selling a policy, a president needs to have the courage to take his ideas and his plans for the country into territory where he may not be all that popular. And in this part of being a president, Mr. Obama has been pretty bad, if not terrible.
Think about it. When has this president ever debated real policy with an opponent (other than the few presidential debates, which were more theatrical than substantive)? Has he ever gone into a Republican Congressional district to espouse a policy he believes in? Has he ever offered to debate a Republican leader on a matter of substance? How often, indeed, does he even visit red states in the Deep South or in America’s heartland, where opposition to many of his policies is the strongest?
It’s too easy to push for acceptance of policies and legislative initiatives to constituents who are already inclined to agree with those policies and initiatives, and it accomplishes relatively little to make a big show of those efforts. In fact, the sight of Obama speaking before a cheering throng of supporters on any specific policy initiative more than likely serves to turn off those who are inclined to oppose him rather than to rally them to his side.
His behind-the-scenes efforts are equally misguided. As one who somehow came to be on a number of pro-Obama lists, I am the recipient of a veritable deluge of e-mails asking me to support his policy initiatives. I seriously doubt that those e-mails (or any others seeking support) go to those who opposed his re-election or otherwise align themselves with Republican dogma.
Thus, Obama is playing to a static field that cannot lead to legislative victories so long as the House of Representatives is controlled by the Republicans. And the fact that the House is firmly in Republican hands is also as much the result of Obama’s failed leadership as any other political factor. Yes, the districts in most states were gerrymandered after the 2010 census to reflect the current balance in favor of the Republicans, but that result only occurred because the 2010 elections saw Republicans sweeping to victory in many state houses and state legislatures.
Now, ask yourself how that happened a scant two years after Mr. Obama’s decisive victory in the ’08 election.
The answer is that the public had turned on him in those swing states and districts where he failed to take the battle for the Affordable Care Act, his chief legislative initiative in those first two years. Yes, he got that bill passed and enacted into law, but his “campaign” on its behalf was weak. Indeed, Nancy Pelosi deserves more credit for its enactment than Obama does. And after it was passed, Obama did little to calm the fears of those who had opposed it.
I still recall the ridiculous statement he made the day after he signed it into law. “I woke up today,” he said, “and the sky isn’t falling.” How was that sentiment supposed to reassure those who feared the worst results from the new law? What did that statement do to educate the masses of the benefits of the bill? What, indeed, had Obama done during the lengthy period of debate about the bill to reach those who would be most helped by it, but who are locked into Fox News and Rush Limbaugh as their sources of information?
My point is that running to be the president is different than being the president. Running to be the president requires turning out your base and persuading the “persuadables” to vote for you. Being the president requires reaching out to and educating those who would otherwise oppose your agenda. Running for president requires you to appear to be a superstar. Being the president requires you to debate those who disagree with you, to engage in intellectual battle with your political enemies, to convince those who are otherwise inclined to reject your leadership.
It takes, simply stated, the courage not to be a politician. And that quality is one that this president has yet to show he has.
Scotch7 says
Hi Ed, Welcome to “The Dark Side”
Unstated in your essay is that political leanings are all well and good, but when the dust settles, POTUS is supposed to work for the benefit of the entire nation.
There will ALWAYS be professional cheerleaders chanting for or against a sitting president. The rest of us just want to work, build our lives and pay our taxes from the fruits of our liberties.
That means jobs. Here this administration has to be judged a FAIL. Yes the economy is growing, slowly, and 100% of that growth coming from the Fortune 2,000. Small business not so much. Small business is where those seeking work used to find it. Not since 2008.
The government’s normal anti-job acts are Regulation, Litigation and Taxation. Individually these are supposed to make us safer, healthier, and wealthier. Overdone, they can combine to be more toxic together than the sum of the parts. I say that’s the case today.
Banks are lending, but only to individuals and businesses who “Conform.” Not one small business or businessman in 20 “Conform.”
In an ideal world the big banks write “confirming” loans at low interest rates and smaller banks fund the non-conforming at slightly higher rates. Both acts create jobs but the non-conforming companies create 100x more than the conformers.
Unfortunately Dodd-Frank contains nasty penalties for breaking rules that were SUPPOSED to be written by banking regulators. Four years later, we still don’t have the regulations for Dodd-Frank or that other 2,000+ page idea called Obamacare. We still don’t know what either one is ultimately going to look like because 2 x 2,000+ pages charges un-elected government regulation writers with fleshing out the balance of the BIG IDEAs.
The rule book for your tax form is a 10,000x more clearly written.
So small banks are not lending because they don’t want to be sanctioned for breaking rules that don’t yet exist. That’s not my report, that’s the report of Jamie Dimon – Chairman and CEO of JP Morgan Chase.
A more informative report from Ed might list the campaign promises made by our dear leader that excited his base and got swing voters to get onboard, then compare them to actual performance. Seeds:
Close Gitmo
Wait 6 days so the public could read new laws before he signed them.
Openness & Transparency [1]
Re-write the Patriot act to better comply with constitutional protections
Rejection of sweeping claims of inherent presidential power
Judicial oversight on any surveillance program involving Americans
Prompt response to FOIA requests
Review of the previous administration’s warrantless wiretapping program.
Encouraging whistleblowers, not persecuting them.[2]
[1] “My Administration is committed to creating an unprecedented level of openness in Government. We will work together to ensure the public trust and establish a system of transparency, public participation, and collaboration. Openness will strengthen our democracy and promote efficiency and effectiveness in Government.” (2009)
[2] “Often the best source about waste, fraud and abuse in government is an existing government employee committed to public integrity and willing to speak out. Such acts of courage and patriotism . . . should be encouraged rather than stifled.” (2009)
Sheila Cardno says
I recently heard an analysis that suggested that strong presidencies have two very different sets of advisors; one that gets them elected, and the second that runs the country. The Obama administration, as well documented, has been brilliant in the first but has failed to do the latter, and is in constant “election” mode. The skill sets are very different and Obama is still campaigning, resulting in increased alienation.
I think we will reflect on this President as most promising and most disappointing.
Tom says
So are you giving him a pass on his pathological lying? Is that an issue in judging a President?
He promises not to take public money in 2008, then he does.
He wails about Citizens United, then uses it to amass 100’s of millions of dollars.
He wails about the Patriot Act, but extends and expands it.
He rants about Bush suspending Habeas Corpus for captured terrorists, then sanctions the actual killing of American citizens without due process.
His autobiographies are loaded with fabrications and exaggerations.
Close Guantanamo? Nope.
Comprehensive tax reform? Nope.
Responsible budget proposals? Nope. His budgets voted down unanimously.
Transparency? Nope.
Eliminate lobbyists? Nope.
Eliminate earmarks (remember “line by line”)? Nope.
And here is perhaps his most audacious lie in it’s pure dishonesty, not to mention the damage of the policies:
Obama promises “All of the above” strategy on energy:
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/03/18/1733811/obama-lets-keep-moving-forward-on-an-all-of-the-above-energy-strategy-where-we-produce-more-oil-gas-here/?mobile=nc
Then he cuts back on oil leases and inhibits oil and gas production:
http://thecoloradoobserver.com/2013/06/obama-era-decline-in-federal-lands-oil-and-gas-production-costs-colorado-jobs-revenue/
Then cancels the Keystone pipeline:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2013/04/29/1205727/-Breaking-News-Obama-cancels-Keystone-pipeline
Then his newly appointed head of the NRC suspended all pending Nuclear plant licensing:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/08/16/1120937/-NRC-Suspends-Licensing-Calls-For-Spent-Fuel-Repository
Then he kills coal as he promised to do:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/2012/03/30/obama_kills_coal_–_as_promised_276604.html
Obama will say absolutely anything, with a straight face, and then do exactly the opposite time and time again.
Where does this fit in judging him?
Try to answer without talking about George W. Bush if you can. This is about Obama.